XRP Analysts Predict 226% Surge to $9.90 Amid ETF Launch

Two prominent chart analysts have identified compelling technical patterns that suggest XRP could be poised for a significant upward move. Javon Marks has highlighted what he describes as a large accumulation pattern, drawing parallels to previous extended sideways periods that ultimately led to sharp price gains. Based on his analysis, XRP could climb by 226% to reach $9.90, and if that resistance level is cleared, the path could open toward the $20 mark.

Complementing this analysis, Ali Martinez has identified a TD Sequential buy signal on the four-hour chart, an indicator many traders use to spot potential trend reversals. Martinez noted that recent consolidation has improved the odds for buyers and that the shorter-term trend now favors upward movement. Both analysts emphasized that their predictions are based on patterns and indicators rather than a fixed timetable, leaving the timing of any potential rally uncertain.

The technical optimism coincides with significant institutional developments that could provide fundamental support for XRP’s price movement. The first US spot XRP ETF began trading this week, marking a milestone that many market participants view as a sign of growing institutional access and legitimacy for the cryptocurrency.

Simultaneously, the CME Group has announced plans to launch futures options for both XRP and Solana (SOL), a move that could attract more professional traders and bring deeper liquidity to the market. These developments represent a substantial shift in how institutional investors can gain exposure to XRP, potentially creating more stable demand foundations beyond retail speculation.

Additional reports indicate that tokenized fund plans are emerging on the XRP Ledger, which would allow funds to trade like tokens while providing investors with regulated exposure and faster settlement times. These infrastructure developments collectively represent a maturation of XRP’s market structure that could support sustained price appreciation.

Beyond immediate technical and institutional factors, a separate narrative is emerging around XRP’s potential role in the tokenization of carbon credits. According to Precedence Research projections cited in reports, the carbon credit market could expand from approximately $933 billion in 2025 to more than $16 trillion by 2034, representing massive growth potential.

The XRP Ledger’s carbon-neutral status positions it as a potentially attractive infrastructure for moving tokenized carbon credits, given the need for fast, low-cost transaction rails in such a market. Other research indicates the carbon offsets segment was around $1.06 trillion in 2023 and could rise past $3 trillion by 2032, suggesting multiple avenues for growth in this sector.

However, market participants should note that this represents a hypothetical demand case rather than an immediate catalyst. No clear model directly ties carbon credit tokenization potential to specific XRP price levels, making this a longer-term narrative rather than a near-term price driver.

Despite the bullish technical setups and institutional developments, market reaction has been cautious. XRP has been holding above the $3 level, but price action has slowed as it approaches key resistance zones. Traders are closely watching whether the token can push beyond these supply zones or retreat back into consolidation patterns.

The convergence of technical analysis, institutional adoption, and potential long-term use cases creates a complex landscape for XRP investors. While the $9.90 target represents a 226% gain from current levels, and the $20 level remains a more ambitious possibility, market participants should monitor whether the current momentum can overcome resistance levels that have historically proven challenging for the cryptocurrency.