Dogecoin Analysts Predict $10+ Surge as Price Nears Critical Breakout

Crypto market expert EtherNasyonal has identified what he describes as a “third-wave deadlock” in Dogecoin’s price structure. According to his Elliott Wave analysis, DOGE remains trapped within this consolidation phase, trading in a tight range without confirming a clear breakout. The price action continues to be confined to the lower region of an ascending channel that has defined the cryptocurrency’s long-term trajectory.

EtherNasyonal’s multi-year channel model highlights three major waves that have shaped Dogecoin’s macro structure. The first wave began in 2014 and saw an early breakout in 2017, while the second wave triggered the explosive 2021 bull rally. The current third wave represents a consolidation period where Dogecoin awaits completion before potentially launching its next major move. The analyst’s chart analysis reveals that if historical patterns repeat, Dogecoin could see a third-wave breakout that would define the strength and direction of its next major trend.

EtherNasyonal’s technical analysis presents an ascending channel with several upward targets that could be activated upon a successful breakout. His assessment suggests that if Dogecoin manages to break out of its current consolidation pattern, the initial target would be around $0.5. Beyond this level, the channel points to progressively higher targets ranging from $1.2 to over $16, representing potentially massive gains from current price levels.

The wave-based assessment indicates that Dogecoin is preparing for what could be an explosive surge toward $10 and beyond, driven by the resolution of the third-wave deadlock. With price action compressing and volatility fading, these technical conditions often precede significant market movements. EtherNasyonal’s analysis suggests that the current period of low volatility and tight trading ranges may be setting the stage for a substantial price expansion in the coming months.

Another perspective comes from crypto market expert Trader Tardigrade, who focuses on a more immediate price target of $1 by Q1 2026. His weekly chart analysis shows that Dogecoin has repeatedly bounced off a long-standing ascending support line, with each rebound triggering significant rallies. Historical data reveals impressive past performances: in November 2024, DOGE skyrocketed by 86.77%; in March 2025, it launched another impressive rally climbing 210.52%; and in November of the same year, the price surged by an astonishing 442.48%.

Trader Tardigrade notes that Dogecoin has returned to this critical launchpad area once again, testing the same trendlines that previously ignited strong upward movements. His analysis predicts that if the historical pattern holds, DOGE could hit $1 by early 2026, representing a potential 611.80% gain from present levels around $0.15. This projection comes despite the meme coin’s current slump, having lost more than 20% over the past month according to CoinMarketCap data.

Both analysts emphasize that despite recent bearish pressure, Dogecoin’s long-term structure remains fundamentally bullish. A move toward $1 would signal a decisive bullish reversal, restoring investor sentiment and overturning the prevailing downtrend. The convergence of these analytical approaches—EtherNasyonal’s wave theory and Trader Tardigrade’s support-based analysis—suggests that Dogecoin may be approaching a critical inflection point that could determine its price trajectory for years to come.