Bitcoin Could Hit $200K by December: Analysis

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Bitcoin’s potential surge to $200,000 by December is gaining traction, backed by fresh on-chain analysis from Capriole Investments and researcher ‘ElonMoney.’ Their models suggest this target is not only plausible but statistically grounded. Key indicators point to significant upside before the market reaches overvaluation.

  • Bitcoin's MVRV Z-Score at 2 suggests the market is neutral, with historical tops occurring only when the score exceeds 7.
  • The Energy Value Oscillator's fair-value estimate of $130,000 could rise to $150,000 by October, leaving room for a $200K+ price if historical premiums repeat.
  • Derivatives metrics like Bitcoin Heater (0.6–0.7) and leverage ratios (3.5% OI/Mcap) indicate the market is warming up but not yet overheated.
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