Bitcoin plunged over 15% on Thursday in one of its most severe single-day declines, triggering a cascade of capitulation signals across derivatives, spot markets, and the U.S. Bitcoin ETF complex. The $10,800 drop was marked by extreme volatility spikes, record trading volumes, and momentum indicators collapsing to historic oversold levels, prompting analysts to declare a “capitulation watch” and draw parallels to past crisis events like the FTX collapse and March 2020 crash.
about Bitcoin's 15% Crash Triggers Capitulation Signals, ETF VolatilityVetle Lunde
1 posts last weekBlackRock’s IBIT Dominates Bitcoin ETF Market Alone
While Bitcoin ETFs have been hailed as Wall Street’s embrace of cryptocurrency, new data reveals the market’s surprising fragility. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) alone accounts for more than the entire net inflows of all US Bitcoin ETFs combined, single-handedly keeping the sector in positive territory and masking what would otherwise be a story of institutional retreat rather than adoption.
about BlackRock's IBIT Dominates Bitcoin ETF Market AloneBlackRock Dominance in Bitcoin ETFs Raises Altcoin Concerns
BlackRock’s overwhelming dominance in Bitcoin ETF markets has become a critical factor for crypto investment flows. New data reveals that without the asset management giant’s participation, Bitcoin ETFs would have experienced significant outflows in 2025. This raises serious questions about the potential performance of upcoming altcoin ETFs, suggesting that approval alone may not guarantee substantial investor inflows without major institutional backing.
about BlackRock Dominance in Bitcoin ETFs Raises Altcoin ConcernsBitcoin Rebounds Above $105K Amid Ceasefire News
Bitcoin’s price rebounded above $105,000 after news of an Iran-Israel ceasefire, reversing a weekend drop triggered by U.S. missile strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities. The Bitcoin Volatility Index hit its lowest level since October 2023 at 39.15, signaling expectations of stable prices around $105,000 ahead of Friday’s monthly options expiry. However, derivatives traders remain wary, with Bitcoin perpetual futures open interest plunging by 17,394 BTC in 24 hours—the steepest drop since August 2024. Analysts note a low-leverage environment, suggesting short-term price stability, but geopolitical tensions keep short-dated implied volatility elevated. Meanwhile, bullish sentiment is building for Bitcoin options expiring in July and September, indicating hopes for reduced uncertainty.
about Bitcoin Rebounds Above $105K Amid Ceasefire NewsBitcoin Volatility Hits 563-Day Low: Bullish or Bearish?
Bitcoin’s 7-day volatility has hit a 563-day low, according to Vetle Lunde of K33 Research, raising questions about its implications for the market. Historically, low volatility is viewed as bearish, but BTC’s current rally and growing market cap—nearing $2 trillion—suggest smoother liquidity and reduced whale impact. Fidelity’s research highlights that Bitcoin is now less volatile than many S&P 500 stocks, signaling maturity. With BTC’s price surging toward $100,000, declining volatility may reflect its evolution into a more stable asset rather than a bearish signal.
about Bitcoin Volatility Hits 563-Day Low: Bullish or Bearish?Bitcoin Volatility Hits 563-Day Low as Maturity Grows
Bitcoin is demonstrating increasing stability as its weekly volatility hits a 563-day low, according to K33 Research. This decline in price swings suggests BTC is maturing as a global financial asset. Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes forecasts a $1 million BTC price by 2028, driven by growing ETF adoption and institutional confidence. The reduced volatility indicates a shift toward lower-risk perception among investors, reinforcing Bitcoin’s role in diversified portfolios. Analysts link this trend to sustained capital inflows and broader market acceptance of cryptocurrencies.
about Bitcoin Volatility Hits 563-Day Low as Maturity GrowsStrategy Buys 15,355 BTC, Nears $21B ATM Raise Completion
Strategy has added 15,355 Bitcoin (BTC) to its holdings, spending $1.42 billion at an average price of $92,737 per BTC, according to an SEC filing. The company now holds 553,555 BTC, valued at over $52 billion, with an average purchase price of $68,459. The latest acquisition was funded through proceeds from its ongoing ATM stock offerings, which have raised nearly $21 billion—the largest such program in capital markets history. With only $128.7 million remaining, the initiative is close to depletion, having raised an average of $3.48 billion per month over six months. Analysts note the rapid execution of the program, originally planned to run until 2027.
about Strategy Buys 15,355 BTC, Nears $21B ATM Raise CompletionInstitutional Investors Increase Bitcoin ETF Holdings by 113 Percent in Q4
Institutional investors held $27 billion in Bitcoin ETF shares, representing over 25% of total assets under management (AUM) in the U.S. as of December 31. The institutional exposure to Bitcoin via ETFs surged 113% from Q3 to Q4, with the total AUM reaching $78.8 billion. Notably, BlackRock’s IBIT saw a fourfold increase in institutional interest, with $16 billion reported by the end of Q4.
about Institutional Investors Increase Bitcoin ETF Holdings by 113 Percent in Q4Norwegian Sovereign Wealth Fund Increases Bitcoin Exposure by 153 Percent in 2024
Norway’s sovereign wealth fund, Norges Bank Investment Management, reported a 153% increase in its indirect Bitcoin exposure in 2024, rising from 1,507 BTC at the end of 2023 to 3,821 BTC. This growth reflects Bitcoin’s integration into diversified investment portfolios, driven by sector-based strategies rather than direct acquisition. As of December 31, 2024, Norway’s per capita indirect BTC exposure reached $64, with the fund’s total BTC investment growing from $23 million in 2020 to $356 million in 2024.
about Norwegian Sovereign Wealth Fund Increases Bitcoin Exposure by 153 Percent in 2024