Bitcoin’s Low Volatility May Underprice Fed Rate Cut Odds

Bitcoin’s stagnant price and multi-year low volatility suggest traders are overlooking shifting Federal Reserve expectations ahead of key inflation data. Analysts argue markets are underpricing the odds of a January rate cut due to conflicting jobs data and unprecedented political pressure. Today’s CPI report could serve as an asymmetric catalyst, sparking a sharp rally if inflation softens unexpectedly.

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Crypto Bull Run Not Over Despite Market Washout

Lekker Capital CIO Quinn Thompson argues that the recent crypto market liquidation event represents a rare positioning washout that has left consensus sentiment misaligned with reality. He contends that getting bearish after such deep deleveraging events historically proves to be poor timing. Thompson sees current conditions as setting up for strong forward returns in Bitcoin and Ethereum, combining the largest positioning rinse in crypto history with what he characterizes as a ‘macro goldilocks’ economic environment.

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