Bitcoin vs. Gold & Silver: The 2025 Performance Debate

A sharp divide has emerged between Bitcoin proponents and precious metals advocates after a year of dramatic moves in both asset classes. While Bitcoin’s long-term gains since 2015 dwarf those of gold and silver, metals supporters argue recent performance tells a different story. The debate highlights competing views on value storage in an era of monetary policy shifts and geopolitical uncertainty.

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Bitcoin’s New Reality: Extended Consolidation, Not Bull or Bear

Bitcoin’s recent price action has left traders questioning traditional bull and bear narratives. A prominent crypto analyst suggests the market may be entering an extended consolidation phase, mirroring gold’s historical behavior. Meanwhile, the Fed’s latest policy moves add a complex macro layer to BTC’s evolving story.

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Bitcoin Halving Myth Debunked: Liquidity Drives Price, Not Supply Cuts

A new analysis is forcing a fundamental rethink of Bitcoin’s most cherished investment narrative. Financial strategist Shanaka Anslem Perera argues that sixteen years of data show no statistical proof linking the programmed supply reductions known as “halvings” to major price rallies. Instead, his report contends that global liquidity shifts—from central bank stimulus to institutional ETF inflows—are the true catalysts behind Bitcoin’s bull markets, suggesting the cryptocurrency behaves more like a high-beta macro asset than a simple digital commodity.

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Zcash Soars 700% Amid Privacy Revival & Halving Hype

Zcash is defying the broader crypto market downturn with an astonishing 700% rally since September 2025, reaching as high as $728 on November 7 despite Bitcoin’s decline toward $100,000. The privacy-focused cryptocurrency’s surge comes ahead of its mid-November halving event and amid renewed interest in privacy solutions, with over 30% of ZEC supply now in shielded pools representing record private usage. This remarkable performance raises critical questions about whether the rally represents sustainable growth or a coordinated pump amid looming regulatory pressures.

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Japan’s Debt Crisis: Global Warning for Economies

The Bank of Japan’s unprecedented decision to unwind its massive monetary interventions by selling ¥79 trillion in ETFs signals a critical juncture for the world’s most indebted developed nation. With Japan’s debt soaring to 235% of GDP and bond yields hitting multi-decade highs, this move reverberates across global markets, serving as a stark warning for other economies, particularly the United States, which faces its own $37 trillion debt crisis. As confidence in traditional currencies wanes, investors are increasingly turning to hard assets like bitcoin and gold as hedges against unsustainable fiscal policies.

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US Debt Crisis: 23¢ of Every Tax Dollar Funds Interest

The U.S. national debt has surged to $37.43 trillion as of September 2025, with interest payments alone exceeding $478 billion year-to-date—a 17% increase from the previous year. These payments now account for approximately 23 cents of every dollar of IRS revenue, making interest the third-largest federal expenditure after Social Security and Medicare. Despite record tariff revenues, which are projected to reduce the deficit by $4 trillion over a decade, rising interest costs outpace these gains. Macro analyst Lyn Alden’s ‘nothing stops this train’ thesis highlights the structural inevitability of persistent deficits, fueling interest in hard money solutions. Consequently, Bitcoin and gold have seen significant demand, with gold hitting all-time highs above $3,600 per ounce and Bitcoin trading around $115,000–$118,000, as investors seek stores of value amid fiscal uncertainty.

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Bitcoin Volatility Hits 5-Year Low, Signals Maturity

Bitcoin is demonstrating remarkable stability with its 30-day realized volatility hitting a five-year low, according to data from ecoinometrics. This decline persists despite significant price rallies and corrections, indicating maturation as an asset class. Bitcoin has frequently been less volatile than major tech stocks like Nvidia during recent market swings. The introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs in early 2024 has been pivotal, providing mainstream access and increasing liquidity through major asset managers like BlackRock and Fidelity. Regulatory changes allowing Bitcoin in 401k accounts and allocations by pension funds and insurance companies further stabilize the market. Analysts note that Bitcoin’s cycles are becoming longer and less extreme, with price movements showing higher correlation to traditional equity markets during risk-on/risk-off periods.

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MicroStrategy Faces Scrutiny Over P/E Ratio Claims

MicroStrategy (now Strategy) faces backlash for comparing its P/E ratio to S&P 500 firms, with critics like Damped Spring Advisors CEO Andy Constan calling the move ‘100% fraudulent.’ The firm’s Q2 earnings presentation implied recurring revenue, but its profits were largely due to Bitcoin’s market gains. Strategy’s stock has dipped recently, though it remains up 33% year-to-date. The company also faces class action lawsuits over alleged securities fraud tied to its Bitcoin treasury strategy. Under new GAAP rules, Strategy records Bitcoin at fair value, but Constan warns of massive losses if the market crashes. The lawsuits accuse Strategy of misleading investors, while the firm vows to defend itself vigorously.

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Is Bitcoin’s Cycle Theory Dead? New Institutional Players Weigh In

The traditional cyclical nature of Bitcoin’s market is being questioned as institutional investors, particularly through ETFs, reshape market dynamics. Analysts suggest that new corporate players, unlike early adopters like Strategy, may lack resilience during deep corrections, potentially accelerating a bear market. Strategy’s Michael Saylor claims the company can withstand an 80% Bitcoin price drop, but newer entrants with higher acquisition costs may capitulate sooner. Separately, memecoin Token6900 ($T6900) is attracting speculative interest for its community-driven ecosystem and potential high returns, despite its novelty in the crowded altcoin space.

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Bitcoin vs Gold: Why a 5% Hedge Makes Sense

The article explores the ongoing debate between gold maximalists and Bitcoin advocates, emphasizing the pragmatic approach of allocating a small portion (e.g., 5%) of a metals portfolio to Bitcoin as a hedge. Bitcoin’s market cap now exceeds $2.2 trillion, surpassing silver, with institutional adoption accelerating. Analysts like Lyn Alden and Vijay Boyapati argue that this strategy mitigates risk if Bitcoin continues to gain market share while limiting downside. Critics like Peter Schiff remain skeptical, but Bitcoin’s rise reflects its evolving role in the global financial landscape. The piece underscores the importance of balancing traditional assets with emerging technologies for long-term risk management.

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Lyn Alden: Bitcoin’s Value Lies in Optionality, Not Spending

Lyn Alden, a prominent macroeconomics expert, challenges the notion of Bitcoin (BTC) as a practical medium of exchange, citing its volatility and capital gains tax implications. While acknowledging BTC’s utility for those facing capital controls or payment de-platforming, she argues stablecoins often serve as more efficient short-term alternatives. Instead, Alden emphasizes Bitcoin’s ‘optionality’—its unique value as a portable, censorship-resistant store of value that enables cross-border transactions and financial sovereignty. She notes that while BTC may not yet be widely spendable, its liquidity and fungibility provide users with unparalleled flexibility in global finance.

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Bitcoin Cycle Top? Lyn Alden on Macro Shifts & BTC Future

Macro analyst Lyn Alden assesses Bitcoin’s current market cycle, questioning whether its stagnation near $100,000 signals a cycle top or potential for further growth. She highlights how this cycle may diverge from historical halving patterns due to evolving macroeconomic factors, including liquidity conditions and institutional adoption. The discussion also covers political influences, corporate Bitcoin holdings, and whether institutional participation is altering Bitcoin’s cyclical behavior. Alden’s insights suggest traditional four-year cycle expectations may no longer fully capture Bitcoin’s price dynamics in today’s complex financial landscape.

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