Analysis by CryptoQuant’s Crypto Dan reveals Bitcoin’s current bull market cycle differs fundamentally from previous retail-driven phases due to institutional adoption through spot ETFs and nation-state purchases. Unlike past cycles with sharp surges, institutional involvement has extended the cycle duration while flattening momentum slopes. The convergence of expected Federal Reserve rate cuts in September 2025 (81% probability per Polymarket), potential altcoin ETF approvals in October, and Bitcoin’s historical seasonal strength in autumn months creates a favorable policy and technical setup. These structural changes suggest any corrections during the transition period could present accumulation opportunities, with renewed upward momentum expected following the current consolidation phase.
about Bitcoin Uptrend Resumes Late September 2025: AnalysisCrypto Dan
0 posts last weekBitcoin Cools Off After $120K Rejection, $150K Next?
Bitcoin (BTC) has entered a cooling-off phase following its rejection at the $120,000 level, with analysts noting a milder correction compared to previous overheating periods. According to CryptoQuant’s Crypto Dan, short-term holders are showing reduced activity, signaling easing market conditions. Despite a recent rally from $108,000 to a new all-time high of $123,128, BTC has stabilized around $117,500. Analysts like Titan of Crypto and Ali Martinez suggest Bitcoin may be preparing for a major upward move, with Martinez predicting a potential top of $149,679 based on the CVD metric. However, rising exchange reserves indicate some selling pressure, which could challenge the bullish trend. At press time, BTC trades at $117,546, down slightly in the past 24 hours.
about Bitcoin Cools Off After $120K Rejection, $150K Next?Bitcoin’s ‘Boring’ Phase May Signal Big Move Ahead
Bitcoin (BTC) is stuck in a narrow trading range between $116,800 and $119,500, showing little momentum as traders await the FOMC decision. Analysts like Michaël van de Poppe suggest that prolonged consolidation could lead to a strong breakout, with $119,500 as a key resistance level. CryptoQuant data indicates a neutral market phase, with no clear dominance from bulls or bears. On-chain signals resemble those from 2020, suggesting the bull cycle may be nearing its end. Large holders are reducing their positions, a pattern seen before previous market peaks. The market remains in a ‘boring’ phase, but analysts warn it could end explosively.
about Bitcoin's 'Boring' Phase May Signal Big Move AheadEthereum Surges Past $3,600 Amid Futures-Driven Rally
Ethereum (ETH) has climbed over 20% in the past week, surpassing $3,600 amid a rally primarily driven by futures market activity, according to CryptoQuant. While derivatives trading has pushed prices higher, spot market demand remains subdued, casting doubt on the sustainability of the uptrend. Analysts note record-high open interest in ETH futures, signaling speculative leverage, while institutional interest grows via Coinbase premiums and ETF inflows. The key question is whether spot buyers will follow, potentially stabilizing the rally. If sustained, this could boost broader altcoin markets, but risks remain if futures-driven momentum falters.
about Ethereum Surges Past $3,600 Amid Futures-Driven RallyEthereum Surges 70% as US Whales Drive Institutional Demand
Ethereum’s impressive 70% rally since mid-June has been fueled by strong institutional demand, evidenced by a Coinbase premium and record spot ETF inflows. US whales are accumulating ETH aggressively, with the price breaking past critical resistance at $3,500. On-chain metrics suggest room for further growth, though analysts caution against overheating if the vertical rally continues. The weekly candle shows bullish strength, with traders eyeing the next resistance at $3,742. Regulatory clarity and ETF adoption are key drivers behind ETH’s outperformance, potentially signaling the start of a broader altcoin rally.
about Ethereum Surges 70% as US Whales Drive Institutional DemandEthereum Coinbase Premium Surge Signals Institutional Demand
The Ethereum Coinbase Premium index has reached levels not seen in months, reflecting heightened institutional buying activity in the U.S. SharpLink, a Nasdaq-listed gaming company, has emerged as the largest corporate ETH holder after purchasing $515 million worth of ETH over nine days. Other firms, including Bitcoin miners, have collectively acquired $1.6 billion in ETH in the past month. Spot Ethereum ETFs are also seeing significant inflows, further driving demand. While the market shows no immediate signs of overheating, sustained high activity could raise concerns. ETH’s price has surged 20% weekly, trading around $3,610 at the time of reporting.
about Ethereum Coinbase Premium Surge Signals Institutional DemandBitcoin Price Cools as Altcoins Surge: Bull Run Far From Over?
Bitcoin’s price has cooled off near $118,800 as short-term holders take profits, while altcoins like Ethereum, XRP, and Dogecoin have surged over 16%. Despite the slowdown, on-chain data from CryptoQuant suggests the market is not overheated, leaving room for further gains. Analysts remain bullish, with one predicting Bitcoin could reach $400k by year-end, citing unprecedented adoption levels. Meanwhile, Glassnode reports $3.5 billion in profit-taking within 24 hours, causing BTC to lose momentum. The market now watches whether Bitcoin can sustain its uptrend or faces a pullback to $110,000 support.
about Bitcoin Price Cools as Altcoins Surge: Bull Run Far From Over?Bitcoin Nears All-Time High Amid Market Shifts
Bitcoin has surged past $110,000, nearing its all-time high of $111,814, with a 1.3% daily increase. Analysts highlight structural shifts, including reduced selling pressure from US institutional investors and whales, who are now accumulating BTC. Exchange outflows and stablecoin trends suggest long-term confidence, while miners hold onto their reserves, signaling bullish sentiment. The market appears to be consolidating before a potential upward breakout, assuming supportive macro conditions persist.
about Bitcoin Nears All-Time High Amid Market ShiftsBitcoin Reacts to Geopolitical Tensions Amid Bull Cycle Analysis
Bitcoin’s price has entered a consolidation phase between $105,000 and $106,000 after dropping below $103,000 due to geopolitical tensions. Glassnode’s analysis highlights Bitcoin’s 656% growth in the current cycle (2022-present), lower than previous cycles but still strong given its maturation and institutional adoption. Despite a 35.39% drop in trading volume and increased exchange inflows, investor sentiment remains bullish, with the Fear & Greed Index at 63. Bitcoin’s resilience contrasts with gold’s slower growth, reinforcing its position as a high-demand asset.
about Bitcoin Reacts to Geopolitical Tensions Amid Bull Cycle AnalysisBrazil Enforces 17.5% Flat Tax on All Crypto Gains
Brazil has scrapped its tax exemption for small-scale crypto traders, replacing it with a flat 17.5% capital gains tax on all digital asset profits, including self-custody and offshore holdings. The new rule, introduced under Provisional Measure 1303, removes previous exemptions for transactions under 35,000 Brazilian reals (approx. $6,300) per month. Previously, gains beyond this threshold were taxed progressively, ranging from 15% to 22.5%. The uniform rate now applies to all investors, regardless of transaction size, as part of the government’s broader revenue-raising efforts. The policy took effect on June 12, as reported by local news outlet Portal do Bitcoin.
about Brazil Enforces 17.5% Flat Tax on All Crypto GainsJapan’s Bitcoin Shift as Debt Pressures Mount
Japanese institutions are reportedly shifting funds into Bitcoin as domestic debt pressures mount, with rising bond yields and an upcoming Bank of Japan (BOJ) policy meeting potentially accelerating this trend. Jeff Park of Bitwise highlights Japan’s $1.1 trillion in foreign reserves and $8.7 trillion in pensions and insurance funds, noting that even a minor reallocation could impact global markets. The BOJ’s potential policy adjustments, including quantitative easing, may further drive Bitcoin demand, with analysts predicting prices could surge to $200,000 if global debt risks worsen. Japan’s influence in global credit markets could also encourage broader institutional adoption of Bitcoin as a reserve asset.
about Japan's Bitcoin Shift as Debt Pressures MountBitcoin Whales Hold Strong as Price Nears All-Time High
Bitcoin’s price has rebounded to $109,693, just 2% below its all-time high, with whales showing little profit-taking behavior. CryptoQuant analysts note that large holders are holding rather than selling, expecting further price increases. Exchange inflows remain low at $3 billion, diverging from historical sell-off patterns during peaks. This restraint suggests whales anticipate a prolonged bull run, reinforcing bullish market sentiment.
about Bitcoin Whales Hold Strong as Price Nears All-Time High