Indian Markets Set for Weak Start Despite Global Gains

Indian benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty 50 are poised for a lower opening on Monday, contrasting with positive momentum in Asian markets. This comes despite Friday’s gains in domestic markets driven by metal and banking stocks. Investors are closely monitoring multiple global triggers that could influence market direction throughout the week.

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Iran Spies Paid in Crypto Amid Israel Tensions

Israeli police and the Shin Bet security agency recently arrested three suspects allegedly spying for Iran, compensated in cryptocurrency to avoid detection. Among them, a 27-year-old Tel Aviv resident gathered intelligence on officials and military sites, while a 28-year-old Haifa resident tracked high-profile individuals, including the future daughter-in-law of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. A third suspect, aged 19, shared classified information. The arrests highlight concerns over crypto’s role in modern espionage, as tensions escalate following Israel’s Operation Rising Lion strikes on Iranian targets. Meanwhile, Iran-linked crypto exchange Nobitex was hacked, with $48 million stolen, amid accusations of sanctions evasion. This follows a 2024 case where an Iranian spy ring used crypto for payments, underscoring digital assets’ growing role in geopolitical conflicts.

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Crypto Market Reacts to Iran-Israel Ceasefire Breach

The cryptocurrency market faced heightened volatility as liquidations surged to $500 million following reports of Iran breaching the U.S.-brokered ceasefire with Israel. Initially, Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply—BTC hitting $106,000 and ETH rising to $2,446—before retreating again amid renewed tensions. Analysts like Michael Van de Poppe view the pullback as a healthy correction and accumulation opportunity, while others predict Bitcoin could reach $130,000–$135,000 by Q3 2025. Whale activity and retail investor behavior mirrored previous trends, with both groups avoiding exchange deposits during the turmoil.

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Israel-Iran Ceasefire Sends Oil Prices Tumbling Below $68

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu confirmed that Israel will adhere to a ceasefire agreement with Iran, as previously announced by former U.S. President Donald Trump. Netanyahu warned that Israel would respond forcefully to any violations of the truce, stating that its objectives had been met. The ceasefire news led to a sharp decline in oil futures, with prices dropping over 5% to below $68 a barrel, erasing gains from earlier in the week. The market reaction reflects easing geopolitical tensions in the region. Bloomberg’s ‘The Opening Trade’ provides further insights into the market implications of this development.

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Crypto Rallies on Trump’s Middle East Ceasefire

Cryptocurrency markets experienced a significant rebound following Donald Trump’s announcement of a 24-hour phased ceasefire between Israel and Iran on June 24, 2025. Bitcoin rose 4-5% to surpass $105,000, while Ethereum, Solana, XRP, and Cardano saw gains between 9-11%. The rally was fueled by eased geopolitical tensions after Trump mediated the agreement through Qatari and U.S. channels, with Israel claiming it achieved its military objectives. Market sentiment shifted dramatically, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index jumping 18 points to 65 (‘Greed’). However, analysts caution that the sustainability of gains depends on the ceasefire holding, as renewed tensions could trigger volatility. The rally coincided with Trump signing an executive order to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve, adding to positive momentum.

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