Crypto markets started the week lower after a flat weekend, with Bitcoin and Ethereum leading declines. Investor focus is on the Trump-Zelensky meeting, which could impact global markets if it leads to a potential resolution of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Additionally, economic data releases, including PMI reports and existing home sales, will provide insights into economic health. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech on Friday is highly anticipated, as his tone could sway markets—dovish remarks may boost crypto, while hawkish signals could trigger corrections. Futures markets currently predict an 84.6% chance of a Fed rate cut in September. Meanwhile, Bitcoin and Ethereum saw notable drops, with altcoins showing mixed performance.
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Yardeni Predicts S&P 500 Bull Market Surge to New Highs
Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research, asserts that the S&P 500 is in a strong bull market and will reach new all-time highs amid improving macroeconomic conditions. He highlights the economy’s resilience despite recent weaknesses, attributing them to past uncertainties that are now dissipating. Yardeni notes that risk assets like stocks often rally during periods of widespread caution, as current sentiment indicators remain wary despite record highs. The S&P 500 closed at a new peak of 6,173 points, reinforcing his bullish outlook. While trade war risks persist, Yardeni expects resolution by summer’s end, further supporting market gains.
read moreFed to Hold Rates Steady Amid Resilient US Economy: Yardeni
Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research, asserts that the Federal Reserve will likely keep interest rates unchanged due to the US economy’s resilience. He highlights sustained household spending and strong capital investments, particularly in technology, as key drivers. Yardeni also notes enduring demand for US Treasuries, dismissing concerns over high yields, and emphasizes the stability of the US capital markets despite debt levels. His analysis suggests no imminent monetary policy easing in the near term.
read moreBitcoin Holds at $84K as White House Adjusts Tariff Stance
Bitcoin traded around $84,300, showing a slight 0.6% dip, while Ethereum and Solana also saw minor declines. The White House hinted at potential relief for farmers affected by Trump’s tariffs, though broader economic concerns persist. Analysts warn that tariffs could exacerbate stagflation risks, balancing inflationary pressures against growth slowdowns. Meanwhile, speculation continues over how the U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve might be funded, possibly through tariff revenues. The Federal Reserve remains cautious on interest rate cuts amid economic uncertainty.
read moreDeepSeek Launch Causes Major Stock Market Turmoil and AI Industry Concerns
The S&P has surged 201% over the past decade, outpacing China’s CSI 300 index, which fell 8%, and Europe’s Stoxx 600, which gained 33%. A recent selloff was triggered by the emergence of DeepSeek, a Chinese AI firm, whose low-cost generative AI model poses a competitive threat to U.S. tech giants like OpenAI and Nvidia, raising concerns about the sustainability of the American AI investment boom. Analysts are divided, with some warning of overhyped fears while others highlight the potential disruption DeepSeek could bring to the market.
read moreNvidia Faces Historic Market Loss Amid DeepSeek AI Competition
Nvidia’s stock plummeted 17% on Monday, marking a historic loss of about $580 billion in market capitalization, the largest one-day wipeout ever. This decline was triggered by the emergence of DeepSeek, a Chinese AI company that developed a competitive large-language model at a fraction of the cost, raising concerns over U.S. dominance in generative AI. As a result, Nvidia’s valuation dropped from $3.5 trillion to $2.91 trillion, pushing it behind Apple and Microsoft.
read moreUS Debt Limit Suspension May Boost Stock Market in Early 2025
The US hit its $36.1 trillion debt limit, prompting the Treasury to implement extraordinary measures and suspend new debt issuance until March 14, 2025. This pause could lower bond yields, potentially benefiting stock prices amid concerns over rising yields and a prolonged debt ceiling debate. Investors may welcome gridlock in Washington, as historical data shows it often leads to stronger stock market performance.
read moreStock Market Struggles as Trump Trade Enthusiasm Fades
The S&P 500 has returned to levels close to those before the election, reflecting a decline in the initial enthusiasm following President Trump’s re-election. Concerns over inflation, Federal Reserve policy, and a mixed outlook for corporate earnings have contributed to this cooling rally. In contrast, Trump Media, the parent company of Truth Social, saw a significant increase of over 21% despite the broader market’s struggles.
read moreTrump’s Economic Policies Face Challenges from Bond Market Vigilantes
The federal budget faces challenges from high interest payments, defense spending, and popular social programs, complicating efforts to reduce the deficit. Tariffs could generate revenue but may harm growth, while Trump’s proposed tax cuts and SALT cap adjustments risk further deficit increases, potentially provoking bond market backlash. As interest rates rise, the bond vigilantes may constrain fiscal policies, echoing past economic tensions.
read morePotential for 10 Percent Stock Market Correction According to Ed Yardeni
Ed Yardeni suggests that a 10% correction in the stock market is a possibility. Investors should stay informed and engaged with market trends to navigate potential fluctuations effectively.
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