Markets Price 75bps Rate Cuts Amid CPI Data & Bitcoin Flows

Financial markets are undergoing a significant recalibration as investors now price in 75 basis points of interest rate cuts by year-end, driven by cooling inflation data and political uncertainty. The latest CPI figures and looming U.S. government shutdown are reshaping investor expectations, while cryptocurrency fund flows reveal evolving institutional positioning in Bitcoin and Ethereum products, signaling broader market adjustments to changing economic conditions.

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Inflation Data Awaited as S&P 500 Rises on Earnings Beat

Investors are closely watching for September’s delayed inflation data release today, with expectations pointing to continued price pressures. Meanwhile, strong corporate earnings from major S&P 500 components are driving premarket gains as the market anticipates inflation numbers aligning with forecasts. The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) climbed 0.4% in premarket trading on optimism that the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ consumer price index report will confirm projections of 3.1% annual inflation.

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S&P 500 Rises Ahead of Key September Inflation Report

Financial markets are holding their breath as the Bureau of Labor Statistics prepares to release September’s Consumer Price Index data, a critical inflation report that could reshape Federal Reserve policy and market trajectories. The S&P 500 has already shown early strength, reflecting investor anticipation for data that was originally scheduled for an earlier release date but now commands undivided attention from traders and policymakers alike.

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U.S. Eyes Quantum Computing Stakes, Stocks Surge

The Trump administration is reportedly considering taking equity stakes in leading quantum computing companies to bolster U.S. technological leadership. This potential government intervention has sparked double-digit stock surges across the quantum sector, reversing recent declines. However, the Commerce Department denies any ongoing negotiations with the companies involved.

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Crypto Hedge Gains as U.S. Shutdown Hits Markets

As the U.S. government shutdown enters its 13th day, traditional markets are experiencing significant economic strain with over 1.6 million federal workers affected and $400 million in daily economic losses. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has warned that this uncertainty is starting to impact the real economy, driving capital rotation into cryptocurrencies as investors seek alternative hedges against macroeconomic pressures.

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Bitcoin Braces for CPI Data Amid Government Shutdown

Bitcoin and broader financial markets are preparing for the first inflation data release following the U.S. government shutdown. The Consumer Price Index reading on Friday will significantly influence the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision amid ongoing economic uncertainty, with analysts predicting a measured market reaction even if inflation figures surprise to the upside.

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Investors Turn to Secondary Data Amid Government Shutdown

With the ongoing government shutdown delaying crucial economic reports, investors are increasingly relying on secondary indicators to gauge the health of the U.S. economy. This shift comes during a week of renewed S&P 500 volatility fueled by reignited tariff discussions. Market participants are navigating an unusual data void as traditional government sources remain unavailable, forcing a fundamental change in how market intelligence is gathered and analyzed.

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SEC Approves Universal Crypto ETP Listing Standard

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has approved a landmark universal listing standard for cryptocurrency exchange-traded products, ending years of case-by-case reviews that created regulatory uncertainty. This structural reform allows exchanges to list qualifying cryptocurrency ETPs without individual rule applications, promising to accelerate innovation in digital asset markets while providing clearer pathways for financial advisors and investors. The decision comes amid ongoing government shutdown uncertainties, highlighting the SEC’s continued operational focus on digital asset market development.

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