JPMorgan: Bitcoin’s Pain Threshold at $94,000

JPMorgan Chase has identified $94,000 as Bitcoin’s critical support level, representing what the banking giant calls the market’s ‘pain threshold.’ This updated figure reflects Bitcoin’s rising production costs amid increasing network difficulty and suggests limited downside from current trading levels. While establishing this fundamental floor, the analysis led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou maintains a bullish $170,000 medium-term target based on volatility-adjusted comparisons with gold.

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US Shutdown Fears Fuel Bitcoin Rally as Investors Seek Havens

Bitcoin’s recent price surge appears linked to growing fears of a US government shutdown, as investors seek alternatives to traditional markets. The political gridlock in Washington is driving capital toward cryptocurrencies and other perceived safe-haven assets. This movement highlights Bitcoin’s evolving role during periods of institutional uncertainty.

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Bitcoin at Crossroads: $124K or $108K After $1.7B Liquidation

Bitcoin faces a critical juncture after a weekend liquidation event wiped out over $1.6 billion in leveraged long positions. The cryptocurrency now trades near $113,000 as derivatives metrics and macroeconomic factors dictate the next major move. Traders are closely watching two competing scenarios that could push BTC toward either $124,000 or $108,000 before year-end.

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Bitcoin Surges Past $115K as Miners Halt Selling Pressure

Bitcoin’s price rally to over $115,000 coincides with a significant behavioral shift among miners, who are holding rather than selling their BTC rewards. Data from CryptoQuant shows miner transfers to Binance have dropped to around 56,000 BTC since September, indicating reduced market selling pressure. This accumulation strategy, supported by institutional adoption and spot Bitcoin ETFs, is absorbing available supply and creating a favorable environment for further gains. With active ASIC miners hitting a record 5.62 million, mining competition and investment remain intense, reinforcing positive market sentiment.

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Retail Investors Drive $6.6T Stock Market Surge Amid Insider Sell-Off

Retail investors have injected $3.4 trillion into the stock market in the first half of 2025, with total trading volume hitting $6.6 trillion, according to Nasdaq data. Despite geopolitical tensions and market corrections, individuals bought $155 billion in US stocks and ETFs during dips, per VandaTrack. However, insider selling has surged to record levels, with only 11.1% of companies seeing net buying by executives—the lowest in a decade. Analyst Adam Kobeissi highlights this divergence, noting insiders’ bearish stance across nearly all S&P 500 sectors. InsiderSentiment data reveals insiders typically outperform the market by timing trades, achieving triple the average returns.

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Strategy’s $5.91B Bitcoin Loss Doesn’t Shake Confidence

MicroStrategy, led by Michael Saylor, continues to demonstrate unwavering confidence in Bitcoin despite a $5.91 billion unrealized loss in Q1 2025. The company acquired an additional 80,715 BTC during the quarter, even as Bitcoin’s price dropped nearly 12%. With total holdings now at 528,185 BTC (3% of supply), the firm’s $35.63 billion investment has still yielded a 17% overall gain. Market volatility, driven by macroeconomic factors like US-China trade tensions, hasn’t deterred Saylor’s long-term conviction. Recent activity suggests MicroStrategy may soon resume its Bitcoin buying spree, reinforcing its position as a major institutional holder.

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Metaplanet Acquires 269 Bitcoin Boosting Stock Value by 73 Percent YTD

Metaplanet has acquired 269 Bitcoin for ¥4 billion, increasing its total holdings to approximately 2,031 BTC. The company’s stock has surged 73% year-to-date, driven by its aggressive Bitcoin strategy, which aims for 21,000 BTC by 2026. Recent financial maneuvers include a zero-coupon bond issuance to fund further acquisitions.

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Central Banks Expected to Print Money Boosting Bitcoin in 2025

Central banks are expected to initiate money printing in Q1 2025, according to Jamie Coutts, Real Vision’s chief digital assets analyst. He highlights the significant global debt at 340% of GDP and notes that the US dollar index (DXY) is a crucial factor for Bitcoin’s performance, currently at 107.43. Bitcoin is trading at $102,406, down nearly 6% from its recent all-time high.

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Bitcoin Price Surge and Market Dynamics Ahead of Key CPI Data

Bitcoin has reclaimed the $96,000 mark after a rough start to the week, driven by expectations of pro-crypto policies from President-elect Donald Trump. Analysts predict a potential surge toward $200,000 in 2025, contingent on upcoming U.S. inflation data and institutional capital flows. Despite recent volatility and macroeconomic pressures, some forecasts suggest Bitcoin could reach between $145,000 and $249,000 by year-end, supported by favorable trends and growing institutional adoption.

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