The 10-year Treasury yield has served as a critical economic barometer for over six decades, reflecting the ongoing tension between inflation control and economic stimulus. This analysis traces its historical trajectory from 1962 through 2025, revealing patterns that continue to shape monetary policy today. The yield’s dramatic fluctuations provide valuable insights into the Federal Reserve’s evolving approach to economic management.
read moreEconomic Indicators
2 in Finance and 0 in Crypto last week
Fed Rate Cut Fails to Boost Bitcoin as Markets Shrug
The Federal Reserve’s widely anticipated 25 basis point interest rate cut failed to ignite cryptocurrency markets as Bitcoin continued trading well below recent record highs. Despite economic indicators pointing to slowing growth and rising unemployment, digital assets remained largely unimpressed by the monetary policy move, with both Bitcoin and Ethereum declining approximately 3% following the announcement.
read moreInvestors Turn to Secondary Data Amid Government Shutdown
With the ongoing government shutdown delaying crucial economic reports, investors are increasingly relying on secondary indicators to gauge the health of the U.S. economy. This shift comes during a week of renewed S&P 500 volatility fueled by reignited tariff discussions. Market participants are navigating an unusual data void as traditional government sources remain unavailable, forcing a fundamental change in how market intelligence is gathered and analyzed.
read moreEuropean Small-Caps Gain Amid Mixed Market Signals
European markets showed mixed performance in October 2025 as the STOXX Europe 600 Index edged higher amid dovish signals from the U.S. Federal Reserve. Against this backdrop, investors are increasingly turning their attention to small-cap stocks seeking growth opportunities in the current economic climate.
read moreSwiss Producer Prices Fall 0.2% in September 2025
Switzerland’s Producer and Import Price Index declined by 0.2% in September 2025, reaching 105.3 points as measured against the December 2020 baseline, according to data released by the Federal Statistical Office. The monthly decrease was primarily driven by falling petroleum and natural gas prices, though green coffee bucked the trend with notable price increases. Year-over-year, the overall price level showed a more substantial decline of 1.8% compared to September 2024, signaling persistent deflationary pressures in the Swiss economy.
read moreUS Gov Shutdown Delays Key Jobs Data, Market Impact
The ongoing US government shutdown is disrupting critical economic data releases, including the highly anticipated nonfarm payrolls report. Market participants face increased uncertainty as key employment metrics become unavailable during a volatile period. This data blackout complicates decision-making for traders, economists, and central bankers alike.
read more10-Year Treasury Yield Trends Since 1962
The 10-year Treasury yield has experienced dramatic fluctuations over the past six decades, reaching a peak of 15.68% in 1981. This analysis examines its historical relationship with key economic indicators including the Fed Funds Rate, inflation, and stock market performance, providing crucial context for understanding current bond market dynamics and their implications for investors and policymakers navigating today’s economic landscape.
read moreCrypto Rebounds as Fed Rate Cut Hopes, Labor Data Loom
Cryptocurrency markets are showing rare gains Monday morning as investors await a crucial week of labor market data that could influence Federal Reserve policy. Core PCE inflation matching expectations last week has reinforced hopes for additional rate cuts, with all eyes on how employment figures will shape the Fed’s upcoming decisions at October and December meetings.
read moreOil Mergers Drive Layoffs, Signal Economic Concerns
Major oil companies are implementing significant workforce reductions following industry mergers, with ConocoPhillips planning to cut 20-25% of its staff after acquiring Marathon. These consolidations are strengthening market positioning while raising concerns about broader economic trouble ahead. The trend reflects a pattern where closely related company mergers typically result in substantial layoffs to boost earnings.
read moreCrypto Bull Run Still Early: Expert Analysis
Julien Bittel, head of macro research at Global Macro Investor, argues that comprehensive economic indicators show the crypto bull run remains in its early stages. Contrary to widespread ‘peak cycle’ sentiment, Bittel’s analysis reveals subdued economic sentiment across multiple measures including ISM, NAHB, and consumer confidence indexes. Nearly 90% of central banks globally are cutting rates, creating extraordinary conditions and a massive tailwind for the business cycle. Oil prices trading 20% below trend and Temporary Help Services data showing early-cycle recovery patterns further support the early-cycle thesis. Bittel frames current conditions as ‘Macro Spring’ transitioning to ‘Macro Summer,’ challenging crypto market narratives that suggest the cycle has peaked.
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