Bitcoin investors have locked in net realized losses for the first time since October 2023, with approximately 69,000 BTC ($6.18 billion) in losses recorded over a 30-day period. This shift from profit-taking to loss-taking represents a psychological threshold not seen in over two years and mirrors patterns observed before the 2022 bear market. Analysts debate whether this signals an impending downturn or reflects increased market sophistication and macroeconomic sensitivity.
about Bitcoin's $6.18B Loss Cycle Signals Market Inflection PointDerive
0 in Finance and 0 in Crypto last weekBitcoin’s Low Volatility May Underprice Fed Rate Cut Odds
Bitcoin’s stagnant price and multi-year low volatility suggest traders are overlooking shifting Federal Reserve expectations ahead of key inflation data. Analysts argue markets are underpricing the odds of a January rate cut due to conflicting jobs data and unprecedented political pressure. Today’s CPI report could serve as an asymmetric catalyst, sparking a sharp rally if inflation softens unexpectedly.
about Bitcoin's Low Volatility May Underprice Fed Rate Cut OddsEthereum Options Show Less Bearishness Than Bitcoin Amid Upgrades
Ethereum traders are positioning with more optimism than their Bitcoin counterparts, according to derivatives market data. The 90-day put-call skew for ETH sits at -2.8%, notably less bearish than Bitcoin’s -4%, indicating traders perceive lower immediate downside risk for the second-largest cryptocurrency. This divergence emerges alongside Ethereum’s Fusaka upgrade and institutional buying activity, though analysts caution that sustained spot ETF inflows remain absent, keeping the market far from the bullish extremes seen earlier this year.
about Ethereum Options Show Less Bearishness Than Bitcoin Amid UpgradesBitcoin Options Bet $118K Cap by 2025, No Moonshot
A sophisticated $2 billion options strategy is positioning for Bitcoin to reach $118,000 by December 2025, but no higher, signaling that professional traders expect a measured rally rather than explosive growth. Market analysts from Wintermute, GreeksLive, and Derive warn that key bottoming signals remain unmet, with elevated implied volatility and negative skew indicating persistent uncertainty despite recent price stabilization around $87,400.
about Bitcoin Options Bet $118K Cap by 2025, No MoonshotBitcoin Faces Bull Trap Risk Despite Spot Metric Spike
Bitcoin’s prolonged downturn faces a critical test as a key spot market metric spikes to its second-highest level this year, signaling potential bottom formation. However, options traders are hedging for further downside, creating conditions for a bull trap below $80,000. The Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy decisions could prove pivotal for Bitcoin’s year-end trajectory.
about Bitcoin Faces Bull Trap Risk Despite Spot Metric SpikeFed’s QT End Puts Bitcoin at Critical Liquidity Juncture
The Federal Reserve’s decision to end quantitative tightening has placed Bitcoin at a pivotal liquidity crossroads, creating both opportunities and challenges for the cryptocurrency market. While short-term volatility persists with Bitcoin ETF outflows totaling $197.5 million and Ethereum funds seeing $66.2 million in withdrawals, analysts suggest the current market differs significantly from 2019’s post-policy environment due to higher interest rates and substantial institutional participation. The long-term outlook remains decidedly bullish, with experts forecasting Bitcoin could reach $200,000 by Q3 2026 if macroeconomic conditions remain favorable.
about Fed's QT End Puts Bitcoin at Critical Liquidity JunctureBitcoin Braces for CPI Data Amid Government Shutdown
Bitcoin and broader financial markets are preparing for the first inflation data release following the U.S. government shutdown. The Consumer Price Index reading on Friday will significantly influence the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision amid ongoing economic uncertainty, with analysts predicting a measured market reaction even if inflation figures surprise to the upside.
about Bitcoin Braces for CPI Data Amid Government ShutdownBitcoin Stabilizes Above $105K as Macro Pressures Ease
Bitcoin is showing clear signs of forming a local bottom as key macroeconomic pressures begin to ease, with the cryptocurrency stabilizing above $105,000 over the weekend and pushing toward $109,400. This potential reversal comes amid shifting Federal Reserve policy signals and softening U.S.-China trade tensions, creating what experts describe as a bullish setup for Bitcoin heading into 2026.
about Bitcoin Stabilizes Above $105K as Macro Pressures EaseCrypto Options Shift to Downside Protection Post-Liquidation
Cryptocurrency traders are aggressively buying downside protection following the market’s largest-ever liquidation event, with roughly $20 billion in positions wiped out last Friday. Options data reveals heavy demand for Bitcoin puts at $115,000 and $95,000 strikes and Ethereum protection at $4,000 and $3,600 levels, while experts warn the weekend rebound masks deeper structural risks around WBETH liquidity and Binance’s market dominance.
about Crypto Options Shift to Downside Protection Post-LiquidationBitcoin Volatility Muted Despite $1.65B Liquidation Event
Bitcoin’s modest 4% decline on Monday belied the carnage beneath the surface, triggering one of the largest liquidation events of the year with $1.65 billion in long positions wiped out. In a surprising twist, the market’s fear gauge—implied volatility—remained remarkably subdued, even as options traders ramped up bearish bets for the short term. Despite the immediate pessimism, experts point to bullish positioning for the fourth quarter, revealing a market that is cautiously optimistic about a medium-term recovery.
about Bitcoin Volatility Muted Despite $1.65B Liquidation EventBNB Hits Record $1,079, Doubling Bitcoin’s 2024 Gains
BNB, the native token of cryptocurrency exchange Binance, surged over 10% this weekend to reach a historic all-time high of $1,079, dramatically outperforming major rivals Bitcoin and Solana. According to CoinGecko data and analyst commentary, this rally—which has more than doubled the year-to-date gains of both Bitcoin and Solana—is fueled by renewed institutional demand, strategic corporate partnerships, and an improving regulatory outlook for Binance. However, experts caution that a short-term correction below $1,000 may be imminent before longer-term bullish trends resume.
about BNB Hits Record $1,079, Doubling Bitcoin's 2024 GainsBitcoin ETFs See $2B Inflows as Investors Shift from Ethereum
Bitcoin exchange-traded funds are experiencing a significant resurgence, drawing approximately $2 billion in fresh inflows during September’s first eight trading sessions. This represents a sharp contrast to August, when these same products suffered $751 million in outflows. The momentum has created a notable divergence with Ethereum investment vehicles, which have recorded over $550 million in outflows during the same period. Industry experts note that institutional investors appear to be rotating back to Bitcoin after Ethereum’s recent performance, with ETF flows now serving as the strongest determinant of Bitcoin’s price direction since regulatory approval earlier this year. The consistent inflows have coincided with Bitcoin’s price consolidation near $114,000, reversing several weeks of weak performance and demonstrating how institutionalized demand via ETFs now fundamentally shapes cryptocurrency market liquidity and price discovery.
about Bitcoin ETFs See $2B Inflows as Investors Shift from Ethereum