Bitcoin Tests $90K Support as Bank of Japan Decision Looms

Bitcoin is holding above a critical support zone near $90,000 as traders await potential intervention from the Bank of Japan. Analysts are divided on the short-term direction, with leverage levels rising and whale activity remaining subdued. The next move may hinge on macro-economic developments and bond market stability.

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Bitcoin Posts Worst Q4 Since 2018, Down 22% in 2025

Bitcoin is on track to close the fourth quarter of 2025 with a loss of nearly 22%, marking its weakest Q4 performance since the 2018 market collapse. The sharp decline has unsettled traders and analysts, as fading speculative activity, macro pressures, and cautious on-chain signals point to a fragile phase for the world’s largest cryptocurrency, breaking a long-standing pattern of year-end strength.

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Bitcoin Recovery Faces Macro Headwinds: Yen Weakness Fails to Spark Rally

Bitcoin’s recent climb above $88,000 masks underlying fragility, according to a detailed on-chain analysis from XWIN Research Japan. The report argues that the recovery is occurring within a weak broader trend, driven more by macroeconomic factors than genuine investor appetite. Despite a persistently weak Japanese yen—historically a precursor to significant crypto inflows—key metrics reveal a concerning lack of leveraged trading and spot market demand, suggesting the rally lacks the foundation for a sustained bull market.

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Bitcoin Whales Reshape Market as New Entrants Anchor Higher Cost Base

Bitcoin’s market structure is undergoing a fundamental transformation, driven not by traditional cycle peaks or troughs but by a new class of large-scale investors. On-chain data reveals these new entrants are acquiring Bitcoin at significantly higher price levels and holding, effectively re-anchoring the network’s aggregate cost basis upward. This shift, marked by new whales now accounting for nearly half of Bitcoin’s realized capitalization, is reshaping supply dynamics and introducing fresh volatility risks, particularly in derivatives markets, even as spot demand from larger players remains robust.

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Japan’s Rate Hike Tests Global Markets, Bitcoin Faces Liquidity Shift

The Bank of Japan’s historic rate hike to 0.75% marks a formal end to decades of ultra-accommodative policy, setting the stage for a critical test of the global financial plumbing that has long supported risk assets. While Bitcoin’s price held steady near $87,800, the move threatens the yen carry trade—a cornerstone of global leverage—and introduces new volatility into crypto markets as Japan tightens just as the U.S. Federal Reserve considers easing.

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Bitcoin’s Bearish Pressure Sparks Fear, But Data Hints at Rebound

Bitcoin’s sharp decline has triggered a wave of bearish sentiment across social media, yet historical data suggests such extreme pessimism often precedes market rebounds. Analytics firm Santiment notes that rising fear-driven narratives on platforms like X and Reddit have historically aligned with inflection points. Meanwhile, institutional inflows and on-chain metrics point to underlying strength despite the volatility.

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Bitcoin Whipsaw Triggers $575M Liquidations Amid BOJ Rate Hike

Bitcoin’s sharp reversal after a promising rally on soft U.S. inflation data has triggered over half a billion dollars in leveraged liquidations, with derivatives traders taking profits as the primary driver. This volatility arrives alongside a seismic shift from the Bank of Japan, whose first interest rate hike in 30 years threatens to unwind the crucial yen carry trade, potentially draining liquidity from risk assets globally. As year-end approaches, elevated leverage and shrinking market depth set the stage for continued turbulence in the crypto markets.

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$2.7B Bitcoin Options Expire Friday Amid Market Weakness

Approximately $2.7 billion in Bitcoin options contracts are set to expire on Friday, December 19, against a backdrop of sustained selling pressure across cryptocurrency markets. While this derivatives expiry is smaller than average and analysts suggest it will have a contained impact, spot markets continue to slide due to a confluence of regulatory uncertainty and macroeconomic fears. The event coincides with a $460 million Ethereum options expiry, bringing the total notional value of expiring crypto derivatives to around $3.2 billion.

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Gold & Silver Soar as Bitcoin Slips: Metals Outshine Crypto

Gold and silver surged to record highs on Tuesday, while Bitcoin retreated below $89,000, highlighting a decisive shift in investor preference toward traditional safe-haven assets. Silver’s dramatic 120–130% year-to-date rally has outpaced gold, driven by a potent mix of industrial demand and safe-haven flows. Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency faces mounting pressure from risk-off sentiment and ETF outflows, underscoring a broader market rotation.

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Bitcoin Faces Critical Resistance at $90K Amid Bearish Signals

Bitcoin is once again testing a formidable long-term resistance line that has historically marked the peak of bull cycles and triggered severe market corrections. Trading near $87,000 after a fleeting spike above $90,000, the asset faces a confluence of bearish technical signals, including a potential death cross, as analysts warn of a possible sharp decline toward $50,000 if key support levels fail to hold.

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BOJ Rate Hike Threatens Yen Carry Trade, Bitcoin Faces Liquidity Test

The Bank of Japan’s expected interest rate hike this week signals a historic pivot away from ultra-loose monetary policy, threatening to reverse the lucrative yen carry trade that has provided cheap funding for global risk assets for decades. Analysts warn this shift may tighten financial conditions and pressure crypto markets, with Bitcoin already down nearly 30% from its October peak. While some see conflicting global forces tempering the long-term impact, traders are bracing for heightened volatility amid fragile holiday liquidity as the unwinding of yen-funded carry trades represents a critical test for Bitcoin.

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Dogecoin at Critical Juncture as Price Squeeze Intensifies

Dogecoin is experiencing a severe price squeeze, with analysts warning of imminent volatility. The meme coin faces two possible scenarios—a breakdown toward $0.10 or a relief rally above key resistance—as it trades near critical support at $0.13. This pivotal moment arrives amid a broader crypto market downturn, potential monetary tightening from the Bank of Japan, and the disappointing performance of new Dogecoin ETFs.

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