Bitcoin spot trading on centralized exchanges has dropped to its lowest point in over four years, according to CryptoQuant data, mirroring levels last seen in October 2020. Analysts suggest this reflects a broader market shift toward long-term accumulation, with investors increasingly adopting a HODLing strategy rather than engaging in speculative trading. On-chain activity reinforces this trend, as Bitcoin transaction fees have fallen to historic lows, with transfers now costing less than $1.50. Unlike previous bull runs, where network congestion and high fees were common, the current market sees reduced on-chain activity as many peer-to-peer transactions migrate to faster networks like TRON. These developments indicate Bitcoin is solidifying its role as a store of value amid growing institutional adoption.
about Bitcoin Spot Trading Hits 4-Year Low as HODLing RisesAlphractal
0 in Finance and 0 in Crypto last weekBitcoin Surges Past $105K Amid Bearish Sentiment
Bitcoin has staged a recovery, climbing above $105,000 despite negative sentiment from leveraged traders betting on a price decline. On-chain data from Alphractal reveals that excessive bearish positioning often precedes a market reversal, suggesting BTC could continue its upward trajectory. Currently trading at $105,700 with a 2% daily gain, Bitcoin’s resilience hints at potential bullish momentum, especially if short positions remain high. Historically, the market tends to move opposite to crowded trades, which could propel BTC toward new highs.
about Bitcoin Surges Past $105K Amid Bearish SentimentBitcoin Price Dip: Bull Run Over or Just a Pause?
Bitcoin’s price has declined by nearly 4% over the past week, casting uncertainty on the strength of its recent bull rally. Despite the dip, on-chain analytics from Alphractal suggest the market isn’t overheated yet, as the Sharpe Ratio—a measure of risk-adjusted returns—has not reached the upper trendline that historically signals market peaks. Currently, BTC sits in a medium-risk zone, implying potential for further appreciation. However, investors are advised to remain cautiously optimistic, as past cycles show this metric can precede both rallies and corrections. At the time of writing, BTC is trading just above $104,100, down over 1% in 24 hours and 3% in the past week.
about Bitcoin Price Dip: Bull Run Over or Just a Pause?Bitcoin’s Bull Cycle Nearing End as STH Distribute Coins
Bitcoin’s price has dipped nearly 4% from its recent all-time high, signaling a potential cool-off period. On-chain data from Alphractal reveals that short-term holders (STH) are distributing their BTC, a classic sign of a bull cycle nearing its end. The STH realized price sits at $94,500, acting as a key support level, while long-term holders remain steady at $33,000. Historically, STH distribution precedes major corrections, but Bitcoin could still see upside before a significant pullback, possibly after October 2025. Currently, BTC trades just below $109,000, up 5% over the past week.
about Bitcoin's Bull Cycle Nearing End as STH Distribute CoinsTron (TRX) Nears ATH Amid Bullish Indicators & Stablecoin Dominance
Tron (TRX) is on the verge of reclaiming its all-time high (ATH) of $0.40, supported by bullish technical indicators and a resilient market performance. Currently trading at $0.28, TRX has surged 11% in the past month, with analysts pointing to a favorable Sharpe Ratio (0.1–0.15) and a moderate Normalized Risk Metric (NRM) as signs of stability. Tron’s dominance in the stablecoin market is another key driver, with over 283 million USDT transfers recorded this year. The network’s $26.4 billion market cap and 32% increase in daily trading volume further underscore its growing adoption. With whales actively engaging and Tron serving as a bridge for cross-chain transactions, TRX presents a measured opportunity for risk-aware investors.
about Tron (TRX) Nears ATH Amid Bullish Indicators & Stablecoin DominanceCrypto Whale Bets $830M on Bitcoin with 40x Leverage
James Wynn, a prominent crypto whale, has placed a staggering $830 million leveraged long position on Bitcoin through Hyperliquid, a decentralized derivatives exchange. The 40x leveraged bet, involving 7,764 BTC, is one of the largest ever recorded on the platform. While Wynn partially reduced his exposure to $430 million within 90 minutes, he quickly re-entered as Bitcoin’s price approached his entry level. This bullish stance contrasts with other whales, like Qwatio, who are shorting BTC. The move comes amid strong market optimism, with Bitcoin breaking past $106,000 resistance and 99% of holders now in profit. Additionally, US spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen nearly $7 billion in net inflows since April, fueling speculation of a new all-time high above $110,000.
about Crypto Whale Bets $830M on Bitcoin with 40x LeverageBitcoin Price Stalls as Open Interest Hints at Volatility
Bitcoin’s price action has been stagnant, hovering between $92,000 and $95,000, raising doubts about reclaiming its all-time high of $108,786. However, Alphractal’s on-chain analysis reveals that the 30-day Open Interest Delta has reached levels similar to those seen before Bitcoin’s previous all-time high in 2024, hinting at a potential cyclical shift. The 180-day Open Interest Delta, currently near negative territory, suggests increased volatility or a consolidation phase may be imminent. While Bitcoin’s price currently sits at $103,367, down 0.4% in 24 hours, historical patterns in open interest indicate that investor risk appetite may follow fractal behavior, influencing future price movements.
about Bitcoin Price Stalls as Open Interest Hints at VolatilityTRON’s DeFi Ecosystem Thrives Amid Whale Decline
TRON’s DeFi ecosystem is experiencing significant growth, fueled by lending protocols like JustLend DAO and cross-chain bridges that facilitate seamless asset movement. While whale activity has sharply declined since May, retail investors are stepping in, absorbing supply and driving TRX’s price to $0.271. The network’s adoption of Chainlink’s oracle technology enhances data accuracy, and USDT’s dominance underscores TRON’s pivotal role in stablecoin transactions. With low costs and high speeds, TRON remains a preferred choice for global value transfers.
about TRON's DeFi Ecosystem Thrives Amid Whale DeclineAltcoin Outflows Hint at Upcoming Season
Recent data shows substantial altcoin outflows from Binance, indicating investor accumulation rather than selling. Analysts like Joao Wedson and Crypto Rover interpret this as a precursor to an altcoin season, with Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) already showing strong gains. While the Altcoin Season Index remains low, historical patterns suggest a potential rally in the coming months. However, caution is advised due to macroeconomic factors like the Fed’s Quantitative Tightening policy. Key altcoins like ENJ, SLP, and LINK are being withdrawn en masse, hinting at long-term investor confidence.
about Altcoin Outflows Hint at Upcoming SeasonBitcoin vs Gold: The New Safe-Haven Battle in 2024
Bitcoin’s surge past $100K in 2024 has reignited discussions about its role as a safe-haven asset, competing with gold. Jurrien Timmer of Fidelity Investments notes Bitcoin’s Sharpe Ratio (-0.40) lags behind gold’s (1.33), yet their negative correlation suggests a potential shift in investor preference. While gold remains stable, Bitcoin’s parabolic rise and whale activity near $95K indicate market uncertainty—large traders are adopting cautious stances, with rising short positions signaling possible volatility ahead. If whale sentiment turns bullish, Bitcoin could surge beyond $100K, but prolonged bearish activity may trigger a short-term pullback.
about Bitcoin vs Gold: The New Safe-Haven Battle in 2024Bitcoin 40% Undervalued as ETF Inflows Signal Institutional Demand
Recent analysis indicates Bitcoin is undervalued by 40%, with institutional investors driving demand through spot ETF purchases and exchange withdrawals. Over 36,000 BTC were pulled from Coinbase and Binance, signaling strong accumulation. Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards estimates Bitcoin’s energy value at $130,000 post-halving, while fractal patterns suggest a potential rally toward $100,000. However, resistance at $96,100 may challenge a breakout. Despite bullish indicators, analysts caution that past patterns don’t guarantee future performance, as seen during China’s 2021 crypto ban.
about Bitcoin 40% Undervalued as ETF Inflows Signal Institutional DemandBitcoin Approaches Price Discovery Zone Amid Market Volatility and Investor Sentiment
Bitcoin’s price has recently fluctuated, reclaiming the $90,000 mark before dropping to $82,000, driven by macroeconomic factors and investor sentiment. As it approaches a critical price recovery zone between $70,000 and $90,000, bullish sentiment is rising, with the $100,000 level seen as a key resistance point. However, trading volume has decreased significantly, indicating weakened investor activity, particularly among large investors, as on-chain transaction volumes remain at historically low levels.
about Bitcoin Approaches Price Discovery Zone Amid Market Volatility and Investor Sentiment