XRP’s Quiet Phase Could Signal Major Rally Ahead, Analysts Say

Chartist analysis, notably from analyst Cryptollica, frames XRP’s price history through a recurring four-part sequence. The model points to the 2014-2017 cycle as the archetype: beginning with a bottom at $0.002 in July 2014, the token then formed higher lows while trading above an upward support line through prolonged, quiet periods before eventually rallying dramatically. Cryptollica’s thesis is blunt: “The biggest enemy of an $XRP holder is not price, it is TIME.” The analysis argues that these extended stretches of flat movement—dubbed “Part 3″—are designed to shake out impatient investors long before any major upward move, or “Part 4,” begins.

This historical lens is now being applied to the current cycle. According to the analysis, “Part 1” began from a March 2020 low of $0.114, with higher lows forming until late 2024. “Part 2” is identified as the surge from around $0.5 in November 2024 to a peak near $3.4 in January 2025. Since that peak, XRP has pulled back and entered what is labeled as the current “Part 3″—a consolidation phase that mirrors the historically challenging, patience-testing periods of the past. The message to holders, particularly those at current levels near $2.05, is that the primary challenge is enduring the wait without succumbing to frustration, as the broader structural pattern may remain intact.

Based on this fractal model, Cryptollica projects that a transition into “Part 4” could see XRP run toward $8, representing a roughly 290% rise from recent prices. However, reports accompanying this analysis consistently urge caution, noting that historical patterns are not guarantees and that time itself can be a costly factor for holders who exit during protracted quiet periods.

Beyond chart patterns, fundamental arguments for XRP’s long-term value are gaining voice within its ecosystem. Developer Bird has publicly argued that XRP should be considered for long-term savings plans, contrasting it with traditional bank accounts offering 4–6% returns that may not keep pace with inflation. This perspective shifts the narrative from short-term trading to long-term value storage, anchored by anticipated utility growth.

Proponents link future demand to several converging trends on the XRP Ledger (XRPL). The tokenization of real-world assets, the potential arrival of institutional ETFs, and the launch of new stablecoins such as RLUSD are cited as possible sources of steady capital inflows. These developments, they argue, could provide the fundamental underpinning to support sustainably higher price levels, moving beyond purely speculative cycles.

The analysis arrives as XRP has underperformed a wider crypto market rebound that added $20 billion to the total market cap this week. This divergence highlights the unique pressure on XRP holders, for whom the market’s general optimism offers little immediate solace. The core dilemma, as framed by the fractal theory, is that nothing may appear technically broken on the chart, yet the sheer delay and lack of momentum become the primary psychological pressure.

The overarching conclusion from the provided data is one of strategic endurance. The combined narrative from technical analysis and ecosystem advocacy suggests that XRP’s current phase is a test of conviction. Whether the historical fractal completes as projected or not, the immediate battle for investors is framed as one against time and impatience, with the promise of significant gains—historically and potentially—waiting for those who navigate the quiet stretch without reaction.