XRP Rally Forecast: Whale Buying, ETF Deadlines, $4 Target

Crypto analyst Charting Guy has identified a compelling correlation that has captured the attention of XRP traders. According to his analysis, an unnamed asset has consistently led XRP’s price movements by exactly 29 days throughout 2025, accurately predicting every major pivot point for the cryptocurrency. The correlation shows that peaks and retracements in the leading asset align precisely with turning points in XRP’s price chart when shifted by the 29-day offset.

The timing of this correlation becomes particularly significant when applied to current market conditions. Charting Guy’s analysis indicates that the sharp rise observed in the leading asset on September 19th should correspond to a similar movement in XRP around October 18th. This date coincides exactly with the SEC’s decision deadline for Grayscale’s XRP ETF application, creating a powerful convergence of technical and fundamental factors.

When the 29-day lag is directly applied to current price projections, the analysis suggests XRP could climb past $4 in October. The third chart from Charting Guy overlays the asset’s fractal pattern onto XRP’s chart, reinforcing the suggestion that XRP continues to mirror the same structure on a consistent delay, providing traders with a potentially valuable predictive tool.

While technical patterns provide one piece of the puzzle, on-chain data reveals substantial institutional and whale interest in XRP. Analyst Ali reported that whales holding between 10 million and 100 million XRP added 120 million tokens to their positions within just 72 hours. This significant accumulation occurred while XRP’s price traded between $2.75 and $3.10, suggesting strategic buying during a consolidation phase.

The scale of this accumulation is substantial, with these large wallets now controlling approximately 7.91 billion XRP tokens. Historically, similar periods of concentrated buying by large holders have supported price floors and created conditions conducive to subsequent rallies. The timing of this whale activity, occurring alongside the technical signals and approaching ETF deadlines, suggests sophisticated market participants are positioning for potential upward movement.

Adding to the bullish case, analyst Mikybull has highlighted XRP’s performance on the quarterly timeframe. For the first time since 2017, XRP has turned green on the quarterly chart and closed above the long-term resistance zone between $1.60 and $1.80. This technical milestone represents a significant breakthrough after years of consolidation beneath this critical level.

The historical precedent from 2017 provides context for current expectations. Following the previous breakout above similar resistance levels, XRP experienced a rapid rally to new highs. Mikybull suggests the current structure could follow a similar path, with his analysis pointing toward potential targets between $5 and $15. The former resistance area has now transformed into support, creating a technical foundation for further price expansion.

The regulatory landscape adds another layer of significance to October’s developments. The SEC is scheduled to rule on six XRP ETF applications between October 18th and November 14th, with proposals coming from major financial firms including Grayscale, 21Shares, Bitwise, Canary Capital, WisdomTree, and Franklin Templeton. These decisions represent potential watershed moments for XRP’s institutional adoption.

The convergence of the October 18th Grayscale XRP ETF decision with the projected timing from Charting Guy’s 29-day leading indicator creates a particularly notable scenario. With whale accumulation providing underlying support, the technical breakout establishing a new foundation, and multiple ETF decisions approaching, XRP enters October under intense scrutiny from both retail traders and institutional investors.