XRP Price Analysis: Bearish Trend Persists Below Key Resistance

On the daily timeframe, XRP is firmly trading inside a descending channel that has defined the price action since the October peak. Each recovery attempt has been systematically capped by the upper boundary of this channel, reinforcing the dominant bearish structure that continues to govern Ripple’s token. The asset currently hovers around the $2.03 level, positioned significantly below both the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, which typically serve as key indicators of market sentiment and trend direction.

The 200-day moving average near the $2.50 region has acted as a dynamic resistance level, coinciding with a major daily supply zone that has previously triggered aggressive sell-offs. This confluence of technical factors creates a formidable barrier for any bullish momentum. The $2.25 to $2.50 zone represents the most critical resistance area, as it encompasses a former consolidation range and overlaps with the descending trendline, creating a strong technical confluence that sellers are actively defending.

On the downside, the $1.90 to $1.75 demand zone stands out as the most important support area for XRP. This region marks the strongest bullish reaction during the ongoing correction and sits near the lower boundary of the descending channel. According to the technical analysis, a deeper pullback into this zone would still be considered structurally consistent with the ongoing corrective phase, suggesting that even if support is tested, it may not signal an immediate trend reversal.

The 4-hour chart reveals persistent compression within a smaller descending structure that is nested inside the larger daily channel. XRP is forming a pattern of lower highs and higher lows, resulting in a tightening range that reflects market indecision rather than accumulation. This technical configuration suggests traders are awaiting a clearer directional signal before committing to significant positions in Ripple’s cryptocurrency.

Recent attempts to push higher have been consistently rejected around the $2.10 to $2.15 supply zone, which aligns with a minor 4-hour order block and the local descending trendline. Each rejection from this area has led to renewed selling pressure, pushing XRP’s price back toward the psychologically important $2.00 level. This repeated pattern demonstrates the continued dominance of sellers in the short-term market structure.

If XRP fails to maintain its position above the $2.00 threshold, technical analysis suggests liquidity is likely to be drawn toward the $1.90 to $1.85 region, where the next cluster of demand is positioned. This area also aligns with the lower boundary of the short-term structure, increasing its technical significance as a potential support zone. For any meaningful bullish shift to materialize, XRP must decisively reclaim the $2.15 level and hold above it with strong momentum, a development that has yet to occur in the current market environment.

The technical analysis clearly indicates that as long as XRP remains below the $2.25 level, the broader daily structure favors continuation of the bearish trend rather than reversal. This creates a challenging environment for Ripple’s token, with each rally attempt vulnerable to rejection until significant resistance levels are overcome. The descending channel pattern that has contained price action since October continues to dictate the market’s directional bias.

For traders and investors monitoring XRP, the $2.15 to $2.50 resistance zone represents the critical barrier that must be breached to signal any potential trend change. Until that occurs, short-term rallies are likely to remain corrective in nature and susceptible to rejection. The $1.90 to $1.75 support zone serves as the next major test for the cryptocurrency, with a break below potentially accelerating selling pressure and extending the corrective phase that has characterized XRP’s price action in recent months.