XRP Could Hit $13 If 2017 Fractal Repeats, Analyst Says

On December 8, crypto analyst Cryptollica published a detailed XRP/USD chart on TradingView, drawing a direct parallel between two multi-year cycles. The analysis, based on data from Binance, juxtaposes the 2014–2017 period with the current 2021–2025 timeframe, dividing each into three distinct phases labeled Part 1, Part 2, and Part 3. Cryptollica asserts that “the cycle experienced by XRP between 2014 and 2017 is almost an identical copy of the current cycle spanning 2021 to 2025.” This fractal analysis forms the core of the bullish argument, suggesting history may be poised to repeat itself for the Ripple-affiliated cryptocurrency.

The first phase, Part 1, is identified as an extended accumulation period where XRP is suppressed below a key resistance band while forming higher lows. Notably, the current Part 1, spanning roughly 2022 to 2024, has lasted substantially longer than its 2014-2017 counterpart. Cryptollica applies the trading adage “the bigger the base, the higher in space,” interpreting this prolonged sideways action as a significant build-up of potential energy that could fuel a powerful upward move.

The analysis pivots on a single, crucial price level: $1.95. Part 2 of the cycle is defined by the breakout and subsequent retest of the primary resistance zone. According to the chart, a decisive close above this zone, followed by consolidation, signals “the official end of the downtrend and the start of a bull market.” Cryptollica suggests XRP is at the final stage of, or has just completed, this breakout on the 2-week timeframe.

The $1.95 level, marked in green on the chart, is now the linchpin. “The $1.95 level… is of vital importance,” the analyst writes, emphasizing the classic technical principle that “once resistance is broken, it turns into support.” Therefore, XRP “currently holding above this level (performing a successful retest) is the most crucial confirmation point for the continuation of the uptrend.” At the time of the analysis, the latest candle showed XRP trading around $2.0892, just above this critical threshold.

If the $1.95 support holds, the analysis projects a move into Part 3: the “Parabolic Rise – Discovery Phase.” This mirrors the near-vertical advance in 2017 that catapulted XRP to its all-time high. The first major technical objective would be the prior all-time high zone between $3.30 and $3.84. Should the 2017 fractal replay “precisely,” Cryptollica’s chart implies a far more ambitious target range of $9.00 to $13.00 for XRP.

However, the analyst tempers this ultra-bullish projection with several critical cautions. First, the cryptocurrency market is now orders of magnitude larger than in 2017. A move to $10+ would imply a “colossal market capitalization,” making a repeat of the exact 2017 price multiple “mathematically more challenging,” even if “logic often takes a backseat in crypto mania.” Second, the scenario assumes supportive fundamentals, including regulatory clarity for Ripple, potential XRP ETF developments, and the success of the company’s stablecoin strategy.

Finally, Cryptollica warns that parabolic phases are notoriously volatile and risky, often accompanied by “sudden drops of 30–40%,” making them “the most dangerous territory for leveraged trading.” Despite these caveats, the overall outlook is characterized as “extremely positive (bullish)” contingent on the $1.95 support. The analyst concludes that XRP is at a moment of “breaking its chains” and that, if broader market conditions align, “double-digit targets ($10+) for XRP are technically on the table.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.07.