TRX Bearish Signals, Strong December ROI Forecast

Tron’s TRX token is currently displaying concerning technical signals that suggest near-term bearish pressure. According to TradingView data, the Moving Average indicator sits above the current price at $0.3446, typically indicating downward momentum. More significantly, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a bearish crossover, with the signal line positioned above the MACD line. This technical pattern often precedes further price declines, creating headwinds for the cryptocurrency despite its substantial $31.89 billion market capitalization that maintains TRX among the top digital assets.

The current price action reflects this technical weakness, with TRX trading at $0.3369 at press time, representing a 1.54% decline over the past 24 hours. The altcoin’s 24-hour trading volume of approximately $795.34 million indicates continued trader interest, but the prevailing technical signals are causing caution among market participants. These indicators, when combined with ongoing market volatility, create a challenging environment for TRX in the immediate term, requiring traders to carefully monitor key price levels for directional clues.

TradingView analysis reveals crucial price levels that will determine TRX’s near-term trajectory. The cryptocurrency is currently testing a significant resistance level at $0.3475, represented by the blue line on technical charts. A decisive break above this barrier could trigger upward momentum toward the next target of $0.3600, potentially invalidating the current bearish technical setup. However, failure to overcome this resistance would reinforce the negative momentum indicated by the Moving Average and MACD indicators.

On the downside, TRX finds immediate support at $0.3405, marked by the yellow line on technical charts. This level represents a critical defensive line for bulls—if breached, it could open the door for a decline toward $0.3200. The proximity of current trading prices to both support and resistance levels creates a tense standoff between buyers and sellers, with the outcome likely to determine whether TRX can capitalize on its strong fundamental position or succumb to technical selling pressure.

Despite concerning short-term technical signals, Coincodex data presents a compelling bullish case based on seasonal trends. The analysis reveals that November represents the peak performance period for TRX, offering a potential ROI of 13.23%. This is followed by December, which maintains strong returns at 12.19% despite a slight dip from November’s peak. These figures suggest that while December may not spark an explosive rally, TRX could maintain bullish momentum through year-end, providing opportunities for strategic accumulation.

The Coincodex price prediction further reinforces this medium-term optimism, forecasting a 7.73% price increase to $0.366996 by October 23, 2025. The platform also identifies September 26, 2025, as a potential peak date when TRX could reach $0.3491, representing 3.75% growth from current levels. This projection follows a 1.74% price decline over the past seven days, highlighting the contrast between recent weakness and anticipated future strength. The data clearly positions October and November as the peak performance months, creating an interesting divergence from current technical indicators.

This seasonal analysis suggests that traders might view current technical weakness as a potential buying opportunity ahead of expected year-end strength. The consistent performance pattern through November and December indicates that TRX could be positioned for steady gains rather than explosive moves, making it potentially suitable for traders with a medium-term horizon who can look beyond immediate technical headwinds.

The conflicting signals between bearish technical indicators and bullish seasonal trends create a complex landscape for TRX traders. Short-term oriented traders are likely focusing on the key support and resistance levels, with breaks in either direction potentially triggering significant moves. The bearish MACD crossover and Moving Average positioning suggest caution for those considering immediate entries, while the strong seasonal performance pattern offers encouragement for patient investors.

For strategic traders, the current setup presents an opportunity to accumulate TRX at potentially favorable prices ahead of the historically strong November-December period. The 12.19% December ROI, while slightly below November’s 13.23% peak, still represents substantial return potential that justifies consideration for portfolio allocation. However, risk management remains crucial, with the $0.3405 support level serving as a critical line in the sand—a break below this level could signal deeper declines toward $0.3200, potentially delaying the anticipated seasonal rally.