Ethereum MACD Bullish Crossover Signals 2026 Rally Potential

Ethereum’s ETH/USD pair is exhibiting renewed technical strength after weeks of uneven price action, with momentum indicators beginning to tilt back in favor of buyers. The critical development is a bullish MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) crossover that appeared on the 3-day timeframe in December 2025. This signal, where the MACD line crosses above the signal line from below, indicates that downside momentum has faded and bullish pressure is starting to rebuild among traders. At the time of the analysis, Ethereum was trading around $3,300, approximately 33% below its August 2025 peak but holding above swing lows from November 2025.

Analyst Javon Marks highlights that this recent price action could represent the early stages of a much larger bull wave. The significance of this technical setup is underscored by its historical precedent. In April 2025, the 3-day MACD recorded a similar bullish crossover following an extended period of consolidation. That signal marked the beginning of a multi-month rally that steadily pushed Ethereum higher, culminating in a new all-time high of $4,946 in late August 2025. The current crossover pattern mirrors that earlier setup, suggesting the potential for a comparable sustained advance.

The rally that followed the April 2025 MACD crossover provides a blueprint for the current market structure. Price action did not explode immediately after the signal. Instead, Ethereum first stabilized for several days, then began forming higher lows above the $1,500 level. The rally gained significant momentum once resistance at $2,000 gave way, carrying the price from the mid-$2,000 range to break above its previous record of $4,878—a level that had stood since November 2021—before peaking.

This historical context is crucial for understanding the projected path forward. The technical analysis suggests Ethereum is now laying the groundwork for another sustained rally that could play out through 2026. The final message from this analysis is clear: Ethereum appears poised to embark on a comparable rally and break out to new all-time highs, with the MACD crossover serving as the foundational technical trigger for the move.

The updated outlook by Javon Marks identifies a specific price level that will define the potential for a major continuation. The first major hurdle is $4,811.71, which acted as an important resistance level during the previous rally in 2025. A decisive break and sustained hold above this level would confirm that Ethereum has exited its corrective phase and re-entered a broader expansion move. This resistance level represents the gateway to the projected bullish scenario.

Should that breakout unfold as expected, the analysis projects a measured move target of $8,557.68. This target is derived from the magnitude of Ethereum’s last MACD-driven advance. Achieving this level would translate to an approximate 160% increase from current price levels around $3,300. The setup proposes a situation where Ethereum’s technical foundations are aligning for a significant upward revaluation, with the MACD crossover providing the initial momentum signal for a rally that could define its performance throughout 2026.