Introduction
Dogecoin’s weekly Relative Strength Index has entered a historically significant zone that has previously marked major turning points for the meme cryptocurrency. Currently trading around $0.13, this rare technical setup suggests the asset may be approaching a price bottom. The pattern has only occurred four times in Dogecoin’s eleven-year trading history.
Key Points
- Historical RSI patterns show this specific weekly signal has consistently preceded major Dogecoin price advances after consolidation periods
- The current setup differs from common short-term oversold readings by occurring on weekly charts during broader market resets, making it more reliable
- Previous occurrences in 2015, 2020, and 2022 all featured extended basing ranges after the RSI signal before sustainable uptrends emerged
A Rare Signal in Dogecoin's Trading History
Technical analysis reveals that Dogecoin’s weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped into a narrow zone around the 33 level, a condition that has appeared only four times over roughly eleven years of trading history. This observation, first highlighted by crypto analyst Cryptollica, places the current price action in a context that has historically been bullish for the cryptocurrency. Unlike common short-term oversold readings that often produce false starts, this specific setup on the weekly timeframe tends to emerge only during broader market resets and is considered much more reliable.
The Dogecoin chart clearly highlights these previous moments, with pronounced RSI dips into this lower band occurring in 2015, 2020, and 2022. In each of these historical instances, the condition aligned with periods where intense selling pressure had largely run its course. However, price action did not immediately reverse upward. Instead, these phases were characterized by quiet accumulation, where the RSI stabilized and rebounded from the 30 to 33 zone as the price gradually transitioned from consolidation into a new uptrend.
Historical Precedent Points to Extended Consolidation
Historical data shows a consistent script following these rare RSI signals. After the indicator reached this significant level, extended basing ranges formed, laying the essential groundwork for the next sustained advance. The occurrences in 2015, 2020, and 2022 all featured these prolonged consolidation periods before sustainable uptrends eventually emerged. This pattern suggests that while the RSI signal may indicate a potential price bottom, it does not typically trigger an immediate, sharp rally.
Now, in late 2025, Dogecoin’s weekly RSI is again exhibiting this same structural behavior. The indicator’s current position proposes a scenario where Dogecoin is nearing a cyclical low and where buyers could regain control in the coming weeks. However, given the weekly timeframe of this indicator, Dogecoin’s price action might continue to consolidate around the current level for several weeks before any meaningful bounce takes place, mirroring the historical precedent.
Current Market Context and Price Action
As of mid-December 2025, Dogecoin is trading in the low-$0.13 to mid-$0.14 range, having slipped back below the $0.14 level that had been acting as short-term support. The price area has been volatile, with moves between roughly $0.13 and $0.15, reflecting an ongoing struggle between buyers and sellers and a notable lack of decisive bullish momentum. Sellers have recently held the upper hand, with Dogecoin trading at $0.13, down approximately 5% over the past 24 hours.
Nonetheless, the context provided by the weekly RSI reading at this historically significant zone adds a crucial layer of analysis. It suggests that beneath the current selling pressure and volatility, the cryptocurrency may be entering a critical accumulation phase. This technical setup implies that the path forward likely involves continued price consolidation, forming a base from which the next sustained advance can launch, rather than an imminent, dramatic price spike.
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