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Bitcoin is poised to resume its upward trajectory starting late September 2025, according to fresh analysis of holding patterns and institutional data. The current cycle shows unique characteristics driven by ETF adoption and potential Federal Reserve policy shifts. Seasonal patterns and regulatory developments create a favorable backdrop for crypto markets entering fall 2025.
- Institutional adoption through spot ETFs has fundamentally altered Bitcoin's cycle dynamics, creating more stable demand but extending cycle duration compared to previous retail-driven phases
- September 2025 Federal Reserve rate cut expectations (81% probability) align with Bitcoin's seasonal patterns and could serve as catalyst for risk asset appreciation
- Expected October 2025 approvals of altcoin ETFs create additional regulatory momentum alongside Bitcoin's historical autumn strength patterns
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