Bitcoin Bear Trap Ends, Altcoin Season Begins

After months of uncertainty and sideways trading, Bitcoin appears to have conclusively exited its bear trap phase, according to technical analysis shared by crypto analyst Ardizor. The analyst posted on social media platform X that recent downturns were not signals of further collapse but represented a final shakeout before the next stage of the market cycle. This assessment marks a significant psychological shift for traders who have endured weeks of extreme fear and false breakdowns.

Ardizor supported his analysis with a chart illustrating the classic emotional transitions of a market cycle, from early momentum building through euphoric peaks and painful capitulation. The chart specifically identifies that the market has now reached the stage of ‘renewed optimism,’ having concluded the declines that rattled investors in recent weeks. This transition from fear to optimism represents a critical inflection point that historically precedes substantial market movements.

The emotional transition identified by Ardizor aligns with observations from other market experts. Analyst Mister Crypto reinforced this view, arguing that September functioned merely as a bear trap for Bitcoin and that October, traditionally known as ‘Uptober’ in trading circles, will spark a new bullish phase. This collective assessment suggests the market psychology has fundamentally shifted toward positive sentiment.

The transition in market sentiment has led analysts to predict that altcoins could soon begin dramatically outperforming Bitcoin as traders rotate capital from BTC to alternative cryptocurrencies. Ardizor boldly predicts that altcoins will explode next, with many potentially reaching new all-time highs. This projection is based on the typical pattern where capital flows from Bitcoin to altcoins once market confidence returns.

Market analyst Chiefy paints an even more bullish picture for altcoins in 2025, describing what he calls ‘the biggest altseason in history.’ His chart analysis demonstrates a series of historical breakouts, each marking significant surges in altcoin valuations relative to Bitcoin. According to Chiefy, altcoins could reach their breakout stage as early as October 5, initiating a period of exponential growth.

The potential scale of this altcoin season becomes apparent when examining historical patterns. Chiefy’s chart highlights past breakout points that multiplied prices by 120x, 175x, and 150x, with the next stage projected to reach as high as 200x. This growth pattern mirrors what traders witnessed in previous cycles, reinforcing the idea that crypto market trends tend to rhyme, if not repeat exactly.

Adding further weight to the bullish case, crypto expert Jelle identified a precise historical pattern in Bitcoin’s market cycles. Both of Bitcoin’s last two cycles lasted exactly 1,064 days from bottom to peak. If history repeats, the current cycle could peak around October 27, creating a compressed timeframe for altcoin performance through late November.

This timing creates what analysts describe as a perfect storm for altcoin appreciation. With Bitcoin potentially reaching its cycle peak in late October, altcoins have additional room to perform strongly into November. The combination of capital rotation from Bitcoin and the compressed timeline creates conditions ripe for significant price movements in the altcoin market.

Chiefy emphasizes that after months of consolidation and endless shakeouts, market momentum has officially shifted toward a clear uptrend phase. He specifically highlights that low-cap cryptocurrencies are poised to kick off rallies, mirroring patterns from 2017 and 2021 when traders who accumulated altcoins at similar stages saw life-changing gains. The current setup suggests history may be preparing to repeat itself.