AI Predicts Cardano’s ADA Could Plummet Below $0.10

Cardano’s ADA token is experiencing a severe market downturn that has taken it to depths not seen in nearly two years. According to data from exchanges like Bitstamp, ADA recently crashed to $0.222, a level last visited in June 2023. This decline is part of a broader market slump that has impacted Bitcoin and other major altcoins, but ADA’s fall has been particularly pronounced. Despite a slight recovery to $0.27, the token remains down 34% over the past month and has plummeted a staggering 80% from its cycle high of $1.33, recorded in late 2024.

AI analysis from ChatGPT frames this not as a typical market correction but as a fundamental shift. The model suggests the drop to the $0.22 area represents a “structural breakdown of long-term support, confirming that sellers remain firmly in control.” This assessment is based on ADA’s breach of multiple critical support levels at $0.40, $0.30, and $0.25. The consecutive failure of these thresholds indicates a significant weakening of “buy-the-dip” demand, a crucial mechanism that typically stabilizes asset prices during downturns.

With previous supports shattered, ChatGPT identifies the $0.20 level as the new “line in the sand” for ADA. This psychological barrier has become the focal point for traders and analysts. The AI model posits that a decisive break below $0.20 would likely trigger a further decline, with a realistic target zone of $0.15 to $0.16 during the ongoing bear phase.

However, ChatGPT also outlines a more extreme capitulation scenario. In this grim forecast, ADA could plummet to a range between $0.10 and $0.12. The model grounds this alarming prediction in historical precedent, noting that “large-cap altcoins have historically lost 80-90% from cycle highs during severe downturns.” Given that ADA has already lost 80% from its 2024 peak, the model concludes the token is “not immune” to this established pattern, leaving the door open for additional significant losses.

Google’s Gemini AI offers an equally bleak technical perspective, describing ADA’s daily chart as a “falling knife.” This term signifies a rapid and dangerous decline where attempting to catch the falling price is highly risky. Gemini emphasizes that the breakdown below the multi-year support at $0.30 was the “final nail in the coffin for many long-term holders.” The token’s fall below its 200-day moving average, situated around $0.45, and the liquidation of millions in leveraged long positions have compounded the selling pressure.

Gemini’s analysis introduces a critical external variable: Bitcoin’s performance. The model warns of a “nightmare” scenario where ADA could drop below $0.10. This would be contingent on Bitcoin itself capitulating and falling to around $55,000. Under such conditions, Gemini suggests ADA risks losing its status as a “major” altcoin. A breakdown below $0.15, the model cautions, could open a “liquidity vacuum” all the way down to $0.09. Gemini’s stark reminder underscores the volatility of crypto markets: “While this sounds impossible, remember that ‘impossible’ things happen regularly in crypto winters.”

The consensus from both AI models points to a market undergoing a classic crypto winter stress test. The historical pattern of altcoins shedding 80-90% of their value from cycle peaks provides a sobering backdrop for ADA’s current 80% decline. The weakening buy-side demand, as highlighted by ChatGPT, and the technical breakdown described by Gemini both suggest the token’s downtrend has strong momentum.

The immediate future for Cardano’s ADA appears to hinge on two key factors: its ability to defend the $0.20 support level and the broader market sentiment, particularly the price action of Bitcoin. Should these supports fail, the AI-driven analyses from ChatGPT and Gemini paint a clear picture of potential targets at $0.15-$0.16, with a risk of cascading losses toward or even below $0.10 if market conditions deteriorate further. For investors, the message is one of extreme caution, as the technical and psychological foundations that previously supported ADA’s price have been critically eroded.