AI Chatbots Predict Bitcoin Bear Market End: $150K ATH Possible

According to the analysis, ChatGPT suggests Bitcoin (BTC) is likely in the middle-to-late stage of its bear phase rather than the beginning. The AI chatbot posits a strong possibility for a final shakeout before the market enters a slow accumulation stage, noting that historically, Bitcoin’s bear markets have ended not dramatically but in a manner that looks “quiet and uninteresting.” ChatGPT added that the current “confusion phase” is historically closer to the end than the beginning, offering a glimmer of hope for weary investors.

In contrast, Perplexity presents a more specific and optimistic timeline. It predicts the bear phase could conclude as early as the second quarter of 2025, assuming recent negative sentiment has marked a bottom zone. This assessment references the popular Fear & Greed Index, which earlier this month plummeted to an “Extreme Fear” reading of 6—a level last seen in August 2019. Perplexity interprets such extreme fear, often cited by figures like Warren Buffett as a contrarian buying signal, as a potential opportunity. The chatbot forecasts that a Q2 2025 recovery could be followed by consolidation and a renewed bull run, with BTC’s valuation potentially hitting a new all-time high of around $150,000 before the end of 2026.

Offering a starkly different viewpoint, Grok—the chatbot integrated into social media platform X—outlines a more pessimistic scenario. It claims the bears will remain in charge until at least the end of 2025 and warns of a potential further crash, with Bitcoin’s price possibly dropping to as low as $55,000. Grok also cautions that a major global geopolitical event, such as a significant war, could trigger a decline even steeper than this already bearish prediction.

Google’s Gemini aligns with a prolonged timeline, though without specifying an immediate crash target. It expects subdued performance for Bitcoin until late 2026, as the market prepares for a potential bull run toward new peaks in the 2027-2028 period. Gemini’s analysis is rooted in Bitcoin’s historical market cycles, stating, “If the current cycle follows the ‘four-year’ script, the absolute capitulation point (the ‘true bottom’) may not arrive until late 2026, especially around October or November.” This perspective suggests investors may need to brace for an extended period of sideways or negative price action.

The divergent AI predictions unfold against a backdrop of palpable fear in the cryptocurrency market. The extreme reading on the Fear & Greed Index underscores the panic among participants following Bitcoin’s recent decline. This sentiment indicator is a critical piece of context for the AI forecasts, particularly Perplexity’s suggestion that it may signal a bottom. The reference to Warren Buffett’s famed advice to “be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful” implicitly frames the current market despair not just as a risk, but as a potential strategic inflection point for contrarian investors.

The core disagreement among the AI chatbots—ChatGPT, Perplexity, Grok, and Gemini—centers on the interpretation of Bitcoin’s cyclical nature and the depth of current negative sentiment. While some see the extreme fear as a precursor to a near-term rebound, others view it as part of a longer, drawn-out bottoming process that could last years. This lack of consensus highlights the inherent uncertainty in predicting cryptocurrency markets, even with advanced AI tools. For investors, the collective output suggests preparing for multiple scenarios: a volatile final shakeout, a prolonged accumulation phase, or the possibility that the bottom, whenever it arrives, may be identifiable only in hindsight as “quiet and uninteresting.”